Can you smell the roses?
Posted by Duane H | Posted in Big Ten News, College Football News | Posted on 15-05-2012
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Michigan will likely enter the 2012 season as the highest-ranked team in the Big Ten and will measure itself right away by playing defending champion Alabama in the opener.
The Wolverines’ stated goals this spring had little to do with national aspirations, however. All the talk around Ann Arbor centered on winning a Big Ten title.
“If we don’t go anywhere else, as long as we go to that Big Ten [championship] game and win that, I think that will be a good season,” Michigan running back Fitz Toussaint said.
Are the Wolverines being too modest or simply facing reality? Four straight seasons have passed without the Big Ten placing a team in the BCS championship game, and this spring seemed to confirm that the drought will reach five years.
That’s not to suggest that there aren’t really good teams in the league, because the conference is probably as deep as it’s ever been. But each contender has at least one major weakness that could hold it back from greatness.
For Michigan, it’s a defensive line that looked this spring to be nowhere near as dominant as last year’s bunch. Michigan State is blessed with a deep, outstanding defense but struggled to throw the ball this spring with a rookie quarterback and extremely green receivers. Wisconsin has Montee Ball but maybe not enough ballers on defense, and its likely starting quarterback (Maryland transfer Danny O’Brien) hasn’t even arrived yet.
Nebraska was one of the lone Big Ten teams embracing national title talk this spring, but the Huskers haven’t even captured a conference crown since the 1999 Big 12 championship. They’re trying to catch up to the Big Ten’s toughness in Year 2. Penn State has a new head coach for the first time since 1966, but Bill O’Brien dealt with the same quarterback issues this spring that seem to have plagued the program for nearly that long.
And no matter how quickly Urban Meyer resurrects Ohio State, the Buckeyes are ineligible for the postseason because of NCAA sanctions.
The good news is that the Big Ten race might provide more thrills than any other power league. For years and years, the championship came down to two or occasionally three teams in the final stretch of the season. Last year, in the first season of division play, six teams had reasonable hopes of reaching Indianapolis with two weeks left to play.
Even with Ohio State not eligible — but playing the role of serious spoiler once Meyer gets his system running — we could have a similarly wild dash to the finish in 2012. Navigating the schedule unscathed will prove daunting for any team.
Last year’s division bottom-feeders, Minnesota and Indiana, both saw important defensive improvement this spring and will be tougher outs in the second year under head coaches Jerry Kill and Kevin Wilson, respectively. Iowa will be young but dangerous, especially in the passing game with quarterback James Vandenberg.
Northwestern still needs to fix some defensive issues but should field another dynamic offense, led by multi-threat Kain Colter. Illinois spent the spring trying to implement new coach Tim Beckman’s spread offense, knowing its excellent defense will be there in the fall. And Purdue, with 18 starters back and finally enjoying some health at quarterback, might be the sleeper of the entire league.
So even a serious title contender like Michigan State, which must go to Wisconsin and Michigan and hosts Nebraska and Ohio State, can’t feel too comfortable.
“I do feel like we’re coming,” Spartans coach Mark Dantonio said. “But this conference is so competitive, how do you rise up?”
Some team will rise up and make the Rose Bowl this season. The question for the Big Ten is whether anyone could or should aim higher.




